University at Buffalo, The State University of New York
Jun Zhuang  

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Research Activities

Research Interests and Awards

Dr. Zhuang's long-term research goal is to integrate operations research, big data analytics, game theory, and decision analysis to improve mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery for natural and man-made disasters. Other areas of interest include applications to health care, sports, transportation, supply chain management, sustainability, and architecture.

Dr. Zhuang's research has been supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF), by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) through the Center for Accelerating Operational Efficiency (CAOE), National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) and the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) through the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), by the U.S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research (AFOSR) through the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL), and by the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA).
Dr. Zhuang received numerous research awards including the 2020-2021 SUNY Chancellor’s Awards for Excellence in Scholarship and Creative Activities, the 2019 Chauncey Starr Distinguished Young Risk Analyst Award from the Society for Risk Analysis, the UB's 2019 Exceptional Scholar Award - Sustained Achievement, the 2018 SEAS Senior Researcher of the Year Award, the 2018-2020 Buffalo Blue Sky Gold Coin Award, the 2017 Koopman Prize from the INFORMS' Military Applications Society, the 2014 Military Operations Research Journal Award, and the 2013 UB's Exceptional Scholar--Young Investigator Award. Dr. Zhuang is also a fellow of the 2011 U.S. Air Force Summer Faculty Fellowship Program, sponsored by the AFOSR, and a fellow of the 2009-2010 Next Generation of Hazards and Disasters Researchers Program, sponsored by the NSF.
Dr. Zhuang is dedicated to teaching and mentoring undergraduate and graduate students. Dr. Zhuang's teaching and mentoring efforts have been recognized by the 2020 UB Teaching Innovation Award, the 2019-20 UB Excellence in Graduate Student Mentoring Award, 2019 UB SEAS Best Senior Teacher of the Year Award, 2019 UB Student Engagement's Exemplary Faculty/Staff Mentor Award, 2012 UB President Emeritus and Mrs. Martin Meyerson Award for Distinguished Teaching and Mentoring, and 2008 Graduate Student Mentor Award from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Dr. Zhuang is also a recipient of the 2019 40 Under 40 Award from Buffalo Business First.

 

Recent Research Grants

  • "Impacts of COVID-19 on the Prescribed Fires Usage,'' supported by the Buffalo Blue Sky program, J. Zhuang (sole PI), 3/15/2021-6/30/2023.
  • "Toward Designing a More Resilient Medical Supply Chain in Pandemics,'' supported by the SUNY Research Seed Grant Program, J. Zhuang (PI; co-PI: Q. He), 4/30/2020-7/30/2020.
  • "A Novel Data-driven Model for Quantifying the Threats and Consequences of Northern Border Risks,'' supported by the Department of Homeland Security through the Center for Accelerating Operational Efficiency (CAOE), J. Zhuang (sole PI), 8/1/2019-6/30/2020.
  • "Validating Adaptive Behavior Models of Adversaries for Risk Assessment (VABMARA) Framework,'' supported by the Department of Homeland Security through the Center for Accelerating Operational Efficiency (CAOE), J. Zhuang (sole PI at UB; Lead PI is G. Ackerman at University at Albany), 8/1/2019-9/28/2021.
  • "A Collaborative Design Framework under Uncertainty,'' supported by Buffalo Blue Sky program, J. Zhuang (PI; co-PIs: K. Lewis and S. Behdad), 10/26/2018-6/30/2022.
  • "Modeling Rumor Spreading and Debunking Strategies on Social Media During Disasters,'' supported by National Science Foundation (NSF), Humans, Disasters, and the Built Environment (HDBE) program, J. Zhuang (sole PI), 08/01/2018-7/31/2022.

 

Edited Books and Journal Special Issues

  • Long, E., G. Montibeller, and J. Zhuang (Eds.). Decision Analysis, Special issue on "Emerging Topics in Health Decision Analysis," 2021.
  • Zhuang, J. C. Wang, and J. H. Lambert (Eds.). Risk Analysis, Special issue on "Risk Analysis in the Digital Era," 2021.
  • Zhuang, J. V. M. Bier, and S. Guikema (Eds.). Risk Analysis, Special issue on "Validating Models of Adversary Behavior," April 2016.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang (Eds.). "Game Theoretic Analysis of Congestion, Safety and Security: Networks, Air Traffic and Emergency Departments," Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, 2015. ISBN 978-3-319-13009-5.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang (Eds.). "Game Theoretic Analysis of Congestion, Safety and Security: Traffic and Transportation Theory," Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, 2015. ISBN 978-3-319-11674-7.
  • Zhuang, J., X. Xu, and G. Cai (Eds.). Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Special issue on "Discrete Dynamic Gaming Models in Supply Chain Management and Project Management," 2014.

 

[Updated September 2, 2021] Refereed Journal Articles (†: student; =: list alphabetically by last names; *: corresponding author) Google Scholar

  • Agarwal, P.†, R. Al Aziz†, and J. Zhuang "Interplay of Rumor Propagation and Clarification on Social Media during Crisis Events---A Game-Theoretic Approach," European Journal of Operational Research, forthcoming.
  • Song, C.†, D. Yu, E. Jose†, and J. Zhuang* and H. Geng. "A Hybrid Recommendation Approach for Viral Food Based on Online Reviews," Foods, 10(8), 1801, 2021.
  • Gu, M.†, H. Guo, and J. Zhuang* "Social Media Behavior and Emotional Evolution during Emergency Events," Healthcare, forthcoming.
  • Li, J., Z. Ye, J. Zhuang, N. Okada, L. Huang, "Changes of public risk perception in China: 2008-2018," Science of The Total Environment, 799: 149453, 2021.
  • Wan, Q.†, X. Xu, J. Zhuang and B. Pan "A Sentiment Analysis-based Expert Weight Determination Method for Large-scale Group Decision-making Driven by Social Media Data," Expert Systems With Applications, forthcoming.
  • Wan, Q.†, X. Xu, K. Hunt†, and J. Zhuang* "Stay Home or Not? Modeling Individuals' Decisions During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Decision Analysis, forthcoming.
  • Hunt, K.†, P. Agarwal†, and J. Zhuang* "Technology Adoption for Airport Security: Modeling Public Disclosure and Secrecy in an Attacker-defender Game," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 207: 107355, 2021.
  • Hunt, K.†, P. Agarwal†, and J. Zhuang* "Monitoring Misinformation on Twitter during Crisis Events: A Machine Learning Approach," Risk Analysis, forthcoming.
  • Li, L., Q. Zhang, and J. Zhuang* "Delete or Not: A Game Theoretical Model for Soft-Censorship of Rumor," Risk Analysis, forthcoming.
  • Ding, X.†, X. Zhang, R. Fan, Q. Xu, K. Hunt†, and J. Zhuang* "Rumor Recognition Behavior of Social Media Users in Emergencies," Journal of Management Science and Engineering, forthcoming.
  • Dong, Y., X. Chen, K. Hunt†, and J. Zhuang "Defensive Resource Allocation: The Roles of Forecast Information and Risk Control," Risk Analysis, forthcoming.
  • Jiang, M.†, Q. Gao†, and J. Zhuang* "Reciprocal Spreading and Debunking Processes of Online Misinformation: A New Rumor Spreading-Debunking Model with A Case Study," Physica A, 565, 125572, 2021.
  • Mahbub, N.†, A. Le†, and J. Zhuang "Online Crowd-funding Strategy: A Game-theoretical Approach to a Kickstarter Case Study," Annals of Operations Research, forthcoming.
  • Zhang, J.†, Y. Wang†, and J. Zhuang* "Modeling Multi-Target Defender-attacker Games with Quantal Response Attack Strategies,"Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 205: 107165, 2021.
  • Behrendt, A.†, K. Lukasiewicz†, D. Seaberg†, and J. Zhuang*. "Trends in Multidisciplinary Hazard and Disaster Research: A 1982-2017 Case Study," Risk Analysis, forthcoming.
  • Agarwal, P.†, K. Hunt†, J. Zhuang, B. Sarkar, A. Sarkar, and R. Sharma "An Exploratory Analysis for Performance Assessment of State Police Forces in India: An Eclectic Approach," Operational Research, 21, 1125-1151, 2021.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhang†, and J. Zhuang*. "Bridging the Research-Practice Gap in Disaster Relief: Using the IFRC Code of Conduct to develop an aid model," Annals of Operations Research, forthcoming.
  • Gao, Q.†, J. Zhuang., T. Wu, and H. Shen. "Transmission Dynamics and Quarantine Control of COVID-19 in Cluster Community: A New Transmission-Quarantine Model with Case Study for Diamond Princess," Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, forthcoming.
  • Song, C.†, J. Guo†, and J. Zhuang* "Analyzing Passengers' Emotions following Flight Delays -- A 2011-2019 Case Study on Skytrax comments," Journal of Air Transport Management, 89, 101903, 2020.
  • Hunt, K.†, B. Wang†, and J. Zhuang* "Misinformation Debunking and Cross-Platform Information Sharing through Twitter during Hurricanes Harvey and Irma: A Case Study on Shelters and ID Checks," Natural Hazards, 103(1), 861-883, 2020.
  • Agarwal, P.†, J. Tang†, A. Lakshmi Narayanan†, and J. Zhuang* "Big Data and Predictive Analytics in Fire Risk using Weather Data," Risk Analysis, 40(7): 1438-1449, 2020.
  • Agarwal, P.†, K. Hunt†, S. Srinivasan†, and J. Zhuang* "Fire Code Inspection and Compliance: A Game-Theoretic Model Between Fire Inspection Agencies and Building Owners," Decision Analysis, 17(3): 208-226, 2020.
  • Aziz, R.†, M. He†, and J. Zhuang*. "An Attacker-defender Resource Allocation Game With Substitution and Complementary Effects," Risk Analysis, 40(7): 1481-1506, 2020.
  • Chu, Z. A. Zhou†, Y. Ma, J. Zhuang, L. Zhang, and J. Ma. "Comparison of Municipal Solid Waste Treatment Capacity in China: A Tournament Graph Method," Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management, 22, 1913–1921, 2020.
  • Wan, Q.†, X. Xu, X. Chen, and J. Zhuang "A Two-stage Optimization model for Large-Scale Group Decision-Making in Disaster Management: Minimizing Group Conflict and Maximizing Individual Satisfaction," Group Decision and Negotiation, 29, 901-921, 2020.
  • Wang, J.†, J. Hu†, S. Shen, J. Zhuang, and S. Ni. "Crime Risk Analysis through Big Data Algorithm with Urban Metrics," Physica A, 545: 123627, 2020.
  • Guan, L., Y. Mu, X. Xu, L. Zhang, and J. Zhuang. "Keep It or Give Back? Optimal Pricing Strategy of Reward-based Crowdfunding with Hybrid Mechanism," International Journal of Production Research, 58(22): 6868-6889, 2020.
  • Yang, Z.J., and J. Zhuang. "Information Seeking and Information Sharing Related to Hurricane Harvey," Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly, 97(4): 1054-1079, 2020.
  • Song, C.†, C. Guo, K. Hunt†, and J. Zhuang "An Analysis of Public Opinions Regarding Take-Away Food Safety: A 2015-2018 Case Study on Sina Weibo," Foods, 9, 511, 2020.
  • Shan, X.†, and J. Zhuang*. "A Game-Theoretic Approach to Modeling Attacks and Defenses of Smart Grids,"Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 195: 106683, 2020.
  • He, F.†, J. Zhuang, and N. Rao. "Discrete Game-Theoretic Analysis of Attack and Defense in Correlated Cyber-Physical Systems,'' Annals of Operations Research, 294, 741-767, 2020.
  • Zhai, Q., R. Peng, and J. Zhuang. "Defender–Attacker Games with Asymmetric Player Utilities,'' Risk Analysis, 40(2): 408-420, 2020.
  • Gao, Q.† and J. Zhuang. "Stability Analysis and Control Strategies for Worm Attack in Mobile Networks via a VEIQS Propagation Model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, 368: 124584, 2020.
  • Zhang, J.†, and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling a Multi-target Attacker-defender Game with Multiple Attack Types Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 185: 465-475, 2019.
  • Pala, A.† and J. Zhuang*. "Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review," Decision Analysis, 16(3): 157-237, 2019.
  • Behrendt, A.†, V. Madasseri Payyappalli†, and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling the Cost Effectiveness of Fire Protection Resource Allocation in the United States: Models and a 1980-2014 Case Study," Risk Analysis, 39(6): 1358-1381, 2019.
  • Xu, Z.† and J. Zhuang*. "A Study on A Sequential One-Defender-N-Attacker Game," Risk Analysis, 39(6): 1414-1432, 2019.
  • Madasseri Payyappalli, V.†, and J. Zhuang*. "A Data-Driven Integer Programming Model for Soccer Clubs' Decision Making on Player Transfers," Environment Systems and Decisions, 39(4): 466-481, 2019.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhang†, and J. Zhuang*. "Scalable Simulation of a Disaster Response Agent-based network Management and Adaptation System (DRAMAS)," Journal of Risk Research, 22(3): 269-290, 2019.
  • Gao, Q.† and J. Zhuang, and Z. Huang "Asymptotics for a Delay-claim Risk Model with Diffusion, Dependence Structures and Constant Force of Interest," Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 353: 219-231, 2019.
  • Chu, Z., B. Wu, Z. He, J. Zhuang, and W. Wang. "The Policy-making Trend Analysis of Municipal Solid Waste in China 1980-2015,'' Waste Management & Research, 37(6): 601-610, 2019.
  • Wang, B.† and J. Zhuang*. "Rumor Response, Debunking Response, and Decision Makings of Misinformed Twitter Users during Disasters," Natural Hazards, 93(3): 1145-1162, 2018.
  • Pala, A.† and J. Zhuang*. "Security Screening Queues with Impatient Applicants: A New Model with a Case Study," European Journal of Operational Research, 265(3): 919-930, 2018.
  • Pala, A.†, J. Zhang†, J. Zhuang*, and N. Allen. "Behavior Analysis of Illegal Fishing in the Gulf of Mexico," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 15(1): 1-10, 2018.
  • Zhang, J.†, J. Zhuang*, and B. Behlendorf. "Stochastic Shortest Path Network Interdiction Considering Partially Strategic Attackers with a Case study of Arizona-Mexico Border," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 179: 62-73, 2018.
  • Zhang, J.†, J. Zhuang*, and V. R. R. Jose. "The Role of Risk Preferences in a Multi-target Attacker-Defender Resource Allocation Game," Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 169: 95-104, 2018.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhang†, and J. Zhuang*. "Partner Selection in Disaster Relief: Partnership formation in the presence of incompatible agencies," International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 27: 94-104, 2018.
  • Guan, P.†, J. Zhang†, V. Madasseri Payyappalli†, and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling and Validating Public-private Partnerships in Disaster Management," Decision Analysis, 15(2): 55-71, 2018.
  • Song, C.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modelling Precheck Parallel Screening Process in the Face of Strategic Applicants with Incomplete Information and Screening Errors," Risk Analysis, 38(1): 118-133, 2018.
  • Song, C.† and J. Zhuang*. "Regulating Food Risk Management—A Government–Manufacturer Game facing Endogenous Consumer Demand," International Transactions in Operational Research, 25(6): 1855-1878, 2018.
  • He, M.†, L. Devine†, and J. Zhuang*. "Perspectives on Cybersecurity Information Sharing among Multiple Stakeholders using a Decision Theoretic Approach," Risk Analysis, 38(2): 215-225, 2018.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang. "Modeling Cumulative Defensive Resource Allocation against a Strategic Attacker in a Multi-period Multi-target Game," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 179: 12-26, 2018.
  • Li, F.†, Q. Zhu†, and J. Zhuang. "Analysis of Fire Protection Efficiency in United States: A Two-stage DEA based Approach," OR Spectrum, 40(1): 23-68, 2018.
  • Jose, V. R. R., and J. Zhuang*. "Incorporating Risk Preferences in Stochastic Noncooperative Games," IISE Transactions, 50(1): 1-13, 2018.
  • Rao, N., C. Y. T. Ma, F. He†, D. Yau, and J. Zhuang, "Cyber-Physical Correlation Effects in Defense Games for Large Discrete Infrastructures,'' Games, 9(3), Article 52, 1-24, 2018.
  • Rao, N., C. Y. T. Ma, K. Hausken, F. He†, D. Yau, and J. Zhuang, "Defense Strategies for Asymmetric Networked Systems with Discrete Components,'' Sensors, 18(5), Article 1421, 2018.
  • Jin, J.†, J. Zhuang*, and Q. Zhao. "Supervision After Certification: An Evolutionary Game Analysis for Chinese Environmental Labeled Enterprises," Sustainability, 10(5), Article 1494, 2018.
  • Wu, Y., Z. Chu, and J. Zhuang. "Evaluation of Optional Fee Structures for Solid Waste Management in China," Waste Management & Research, 36(6): 513-519, 2018.
  • He, Z., Z. Chu., M. Zhao, J. Zhuang, and F. Liu. "Policy-making coordination of municipal solid waste policies in China: a content analysis," Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management, 20(2): 1073–1084, 2018.
  • Wang, T.†, and J. Zhuang. "The True Meaning of Terrorism and Response to Terrorism," Social Sciences, 6(6): 160-168, 2017.
  • Seaberg, D.†, L. Devine†, and J. Zhuang*. "A Review of Game Theory Applications in Natural Disaster Management Research," Natural Hazards, 89(3): 1461-1483, 2017.
  • Wang, B.† and J. Zhuang*. "Crisis Information Distribution on Twitter: A Content Analysis of Tweets during Hurricane Sandy," Natural Hazards, 89(1): 161-181, 2017.
  • Madasseri Payyappalli, V.†, J. Zhuang*, and V. R. R. Jose. "Deterrence and Risk Preferences in a Sequential Attacker-Defender Game with Continuous Defense Effort," Risk Analysis, 37(11): 2229-2245, 2017.
  • Guan, P.†, M. He†, and J. Zhuang*, and S. Hora. "Modeling A Multi-target Attacker-defender Game with Budget Constraints," Decision Analysis, 14(2): 87-107, 2017.
  • Song, C.† and J. Zhuang*. "N-Stage Security Screening Strategies in the Face of Strategic Applicants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 165: 292-301, 2017.
  • Song, C.† and J. Zhuang*. "Two-Stage Security Screening Strategies in the Face of Strategic Applicants, Congestions and Screening Errors," Annals of Operations Research, 258(2): 237-262, 2017.
  • Song, C.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling A Government-Manufacturer-Farmer Game for Food Supply Chain Risk Management," Food Control, 78: 443-455, 2017.
  • Li, S.†, J. Zhuang*, and S. Shen. "Dynamic forecasting conditional probability of bombing attacks based on time series and intervention analysis,'' Risk Analysis, 37(7): 1287-1297, 2017.
  • Li, S.†, J. Zhuang*, and S. Shen. "A Three-stage Evacuation Decision-making and Behavior Model for the Onset of an Attack,'' Transportation Research Part C, 79: 119-135, 2017.
  • Li, S.†, J. Zhuang*, S. Shen, and J. Wang. "Driving-forces Model on Individual Behavior in Scenarios considering Moving Threat Agents,'' Physica A, 481: 127-140, 2017.
  • Zhuang, J. M. Hu. and F. Mousapour†. "Value-Driven Design Process: A Systematic Decision-Making Framework Considering Different Attribute Preferences from Multiple Stakeholders," Journal of Solar Energy Engineering, 139(2): 021001, 2017, 6 pages.
  • Zahiri, B.†, J. Zhuang, and M. Mohammadi. "Toward an integrated sustainable-resilient supply chain: A pharmaceutical case study," Transportation Research Part E, 103: 109-142, 2017.
  • Tutun, S.†, M. T. Khasawneh, and J. Zhuang. "New Framework that uses Patterns and Relations to understand Terrorist Behaviors,'' Expert Systems with Applications, 78: 358-375, 2017.
  • Niyirora, J.† and J. Zhuang. "Fluid approximations and control of queues in emergency departments," European Journal of Operational Research, 261(3): 1110-1124, 2017.
  • Ahmed, M. T.†, J. Zhuang, and C. Kwon. "Understanding Conflicting Interests of a Government and a Tobacco Manufacturer: A Game-Theoretic Approach," Group Decision and Negotiation, 26(6): 1209-1230, 2017.
  • Chu, Z, Y. Wu, and J. Zhuang. "Municipal Household Solid Waste Fee Based on Increasing-block Pricing Model in Beijing, China,'' Waste Management & Research, 35(3): 228-235, 2017.
  • Ackerman, G., J. Zhuang, and S. Weerasuriya. "Cross-Milieu Terrorist Collaboration: Using Game Theory to Assess the Risk of a Novel Threat,'' Risk Analysis, 37(2): 342-371, 2017.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhang†, and J. Zhuang*. "Experiments on Partnership and Decision Making in a Disaster Environment," International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 18: 181-196, 2016.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhang†, and J. Zhuang*. "Partnership Behavior in Disaster Relief Operations: A case study comparison of the responses to the tornado in Joplin, Missouri and Hurricane Sandy along the Jersey Coast," Natural Hazards, 84(1), 625-647, 2016.
  • Coles, J.† and J. Zhuang*. "Introducing Terrorist Archetypes: Using Terrorist Objectives and Behavior to Predict New, Complex, and Changing Threats," Military Operations Research, 21(4): 47-62, 2016.
  • He, F.† and J. Zhuang. "Balancing Pre-disaster Preparedness and Post-disaster Relief," European Journal of Operational Research, 252(1): 246-256, 2016.
  • Guan, P.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling Resources Allocation in Attacker-defender Games with 'Warm Up' CSF," Risk Analysis, 36(4): 776-791, 2016.
  • Xu, J.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling Costly Learning and Counter-learning in a Defender-attacker Game with Private Defender Information," Annals of Operations Research, 236(1), 271-289, 2016.
  • Xu, J.†, J. Zhuang*, and Z. Liu. "Modeling and Mitigating the Effects of Supply Chain Disruption in a Defender-attacker Game," Annals of Operations Research, 236(1), 255-270, 2016.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=. "How Companies and Governments React to Disasters," Journal of Risk and Reliability, 230(4) 417-426, 2016.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=. "The Strategic Interaction between a Company and the Government Surrounding Disasters," Annals of Operations Research, 237(1), 27-40, 2016.
  • Xiang, Y. and J. Zhuang*. "Medical Resource Allocation Serving Disaster Victims with Deteriorating Health Conditions," Annals of Operations Research, 236(1), 177-196, 2016.
  • Sabbaghi, M†, S. Behdad, and J. Zhuang. "Managing Consumer Behavior toward On-Time Return of the Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment: A Game Theoretic Approach,'' International Journal of Production Economics, 182, 545-563, 2016.
  • Raihanian, A.†, S. Behdad, and J. Zhuang. "Agent Based Simulation of Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Recovery,'' Journal of Manufacturing Science and Engineering, 138(10): 101007, 2016, 11 pages.
  • Rao, N., S. Poole, C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Defense of Cyber Infrastructures Against Cyber-Physical Attacks Using Game-Theoretic Models,'' Risk Analysis, 36(4): 694-710, 2016.
  • Ning, M.†, J. Gong†, X. Zheng†, and J. Zhuang*. "Does New Rural Pension Scheme Decrease Elderly Labor Supply? Evidence from CHARLS,'' China Economic Review, 41: 315-330, 2016.
  • Chu, Z, W. Wang, B. Wang†, and J. Zhuang. "Research on Factors Influencing Municipal Household Solid Waste Separate Collection: Bayesian Belief Networks,'' Sustainability, 8(2), 152, 2016, 14 pages.
  • Guan, P.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling Public-private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models," Decision Analysis, 12(4): 173-189, 2015.
  • Nikoofal, M. and J. Zhuang=*. "On the Value of Exposure and Secrecy of Defense System: First-Mover Advantage vs. Robustness" European Journal of Operational Research, 246(1): 320-330, 2015.
  • Yaraghi, N.†, P. Tabesh†, P. Guan† and J. Zhuang*. "Comparison of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Monte-Carlo AHP under Different Levels of Uncertainty," IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 62(1): 122-132, 2015.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling Credible Retaliation Threats in Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons using Partial Inspection---A Three-Stage Game," Decision Analysis, 11(1): 43-62, 2014.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang*. "Subsidizing to Disrupt Terrorism Supply Chain---A Four Player Sequential Game," Journal of the Operational Research Society, 65(7): 1108-1119, 2014.
  • Zhuang, J.*, G. Saxton, and H. Wu†. "Publicity vs. Impact in Nonprofit Disclosures and Donor Preferences: A Sequential Game with One Nonprofit Organization and N Donors,'' Annals of Operations Research, 221(1): 469-491, 2014.
  • Ali, M., M. Golalikhani†, and J. Zhuang=. "A Computational Study on Different Penalty Approaches for Solving Constrained Global Optimization Problems with the Electromagnetism-like Method,'' Optimization, 63(3): 403-419, 2014.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang*. "Cost of Equity in Homeland Security Resource Allocation In the Face of A Strategic Attacker," Risk Analysis, 33(6): 1083-1099, 2013.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang*. "Hybrid Defensive Resource Allocations in the Face of Partially Strategic Attackers in a Sequential Defender-attacker Game,'' European Journal of Operational Research, 228(1): 262-272, 2013.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=. "The Impact of Disaster on the Interaction between Company and Government," European Journal of Operational Research, 225(2): 363-376, 2013.
  • Saxton, G. and J. Zhuang. "A Game-Theoretic Model of Disclosure-Donation Interactions in the Market for Charitable Contributions,' Journal of Applied Communication Research, 41(1): 40-63, 2013.
  • Guo, L.†, S. Huang†, J. Zhuang, and A. Sadek. "Modeling Parking Behavior under Uncertainty: A Static Game Theoretic versus a Sequential Neo-additive Capacity Modeling Approach,'' Networks and Spatial Economics, 13(3): 327-350, 2013.
  • Jose, V. R. R. and J. Zhuang*. "Technology Adoption, Accumulation, and Competition in Multi-period Attacker-Defender Games,'' Military Operations Research, 18(2): 33-47, 2013.
  • Nikoofal, M.† and J. Zhuang=*. "Robust Allocation of a Defensive Budget Considering an Attacker’s Private Information,'' Risk Analysis, 32(5): 930-943, 2012.
  • Cheung, M.† and J. Zhuang*. "Regulation Games Between Government and Competing Companies: Oil Spills and Other Disasters,'' Decision Analysis, 9(2): 156-164, 2012.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=*. "The Timing and Deterrence of Terrorist Attacks due to Exogenous Dynamics," Journal of the Operational Research Society, 63(6): 726-735, 2012.
  • He, F.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling 'Contracts' between Terrorist Groups and Governments in a Sequential Game,'' Journal of the Operational Research Society, 63(6): 790-809, 2012.
  • Coles, J.†, J. Zhuang*, and J. Yates "Case Study in Disaster Relief: A Descriptive Analysis of Agency Partnerships in the Aftermath of the January 12th, 2010 Haitian Earthquake," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 46(1): 67-77, 2012.
  • Coles, J.† and J. Zhuang*. "Decisions in Disaster Recovery Operations: A Game Theoretic Perspective on Organization Cooperation," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 8(1), Article 35, 1-14, 2011.
  • Urschel, J.† and J. Zhuang*. "Are NFL Coaches Risk and Loss Averse? Evidence From Their Use of Kickoff Strategies,'' Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 7(3), Article 14, 2011.
  • Wang, X. and J. Zhuang=*. "Balancing Congestion and Security in the Presence of Strategic Applicants with Private Information," European Journal of Operational Research, 212(1): 100-111, 2011.
  • Golalikhani, M.† and J. Zhuang*. "Modeling Arbitrary Layers of Continuous Level Defenses in Facing with A Strategic Attacker," Risk Analysis, 31(4): 533-547, 2011.
  • Zhuang, J.* and V.M. Bier. "Secrecy and Deception at Equilibrium, with Applications to Anti-Terrorism Resource Allocation," Defence and Peace Economics, 22(1): 43-61, 2011.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=*. "Defending Against a Terrorist Who Accumulates Resources," Military Operations Research, 16(1): 21-39, 2011.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=*. "Governments' and Terrorists' Defense and Attack in a T-period Game," Decision Analysis, 8(1): 46-70, 2011.
  • Hausken, K. and J. Zhuang=*. "Defending Against a Stockpiling Terrorist," The Engineering Economist, 56(4): 321-353, 2011.
  • Zhuang, J.* "Impacts of Subsidized Security on Stability and Total Social Costs of Equilibrium Solutions in an N-Player Game with Errors,'' The Engineering Economist, 55(2): 131-149, 2010.
  • Zhuang, J.* and V.M. Bier. "Reasons for Secrecy and Deception in Homeland-Security Resource Allocation,'' Risk Analysis, 30(12): 1737-1743, 2010.
  • Zhuang, J.*, V.M. Bier, and O. Alagoz. "Modeling Secrecy and Deception in a Multiple-period Attacker-Defender Signaling Game," European Journal of Operational Research, 203(2): 409-418, 2010.
  • Dighe, N.†, J. Zhuang*, and V.M. Bier. "Secrecy in Defensive Allocations as a Strategy for Achieving more Cost-effective Attacker Deterrence,'' International Journal of Performability Engineering, 5(1): 31-43, 2009.
  • Zhuang, J.* and V.M. Bier. "Balancing Terrorism and Natural Disasters---Defensive Strategy with Endogenous Attack Effort," Operations Research 55(5): 976-991, 2007.
  • Zhuang, J.*, V.M. Bier and A. Gupta†. "Subsidies in Interdependent Security with Heterogeneous Discount Rates," The Engineering Economist 52(1): 1-19, 2007.
  • Zhuang, J.*, M.A. Marchant, S. Nokes and H. Strobel. "Economic Analysis of Cellulase Production Methods for Bio-ethanol," Applied Engineering in Agriculture 23(5): 679-687, 2007.
  • Zhuang, J.*, M.A. Marchant, C.L. Schardl† and C.M. Butler†. "Economic Analysis of Replacing Endophyte-Infected with Endophyte-Free Tall Fescue Pastures," Agronomy Journal 97(3): 711-716, 2005.
  • Peng, X†, M.A. Marchant, X. D. Qin, and J. Zhuang. "Chinese Consumers' Preferences for Livestock Products," The International Food and Agribusiness Management Review 8(4): 62-76, 2005.

 

Full Papers in Conference Proceedings (†: student; =: list alphabetically by last names)

  • Hunt, K.†, P. Agarwal†, and J. Zhuang. “Applying Machine Learning to Track Misinformation During Disasters,'' Proceedings of the 2019 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference (IISE 2019), Orlando, Florida, May 18-21, 2019. (Full paper refereed. 6 pages.)
  • Xu, W.†, W. Wang, Q. He, C. Liu, and J. Zhuang. “An improved multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm and its application in vehicle scheduling,'' Chinese Automation Congress, Jinan, China, October 20-22, 2017. (Full paper refereed, 4230-4235, 6 pages.)
  • Rao, N., C. Y. T. Ma, K. Hausken, F. He†, D. Yau., and J. Zhuang. “Game-Theoretic Strategies for Asymmetric Networked Systems,'' Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION 2017), Xi'an, China, July 10-13, 2017. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Rao, N., N. Imam, C. Y. T. Ma, K. Hausken, F. He†, and J. Zhuang. “On Defense Strategies for System of Systems Using Aggregated Correlations,'' Proceedings of the 2017 IEEE International Systems Conference (IEEE SysCon 2017), Montreal, Quebec, Canada, April 24-27, 2017. (Full paper refereed. 6 pages.)
  • Ceker, H., J. Zhuang, S. Upadhyaya, L. Q. Duy and S. B. Hee. "Deception-based Game Theoretical Approach to Mitigate DoS Attacks'' Proceedings of the Conference on Decision and Game Theory for Security (GameSec 2016), November 2-4, 2016, New York, New York (Full paper refereed. 20 pages.)
  • Rao, N., C. Y. T. Ma, K. Hausken, F. He†, and J. Zhuang, "Game-Theoretic Approach to Cyber-Physical Infrastructures: UltraScience Net Case Study,'' Proceedings of the 2016 IEEE International Conference on Multisensor Fusion and Integration for Intelligent Systems (MFI 2016), Baden, Germany, September 19-21, 2016. (Full paper refereed. xx pages.)
  • Rao, N., C. Y. T. Ma, K. Hausken, F. He†, and J. Zhuang, "Defense Strategies for Infrastructures with Multiple Systems of Components,'' Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION 2016), Heidelberg, Germany, July 5-8, 2016. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Raihanian, A.†, S. Behdad, and J. Zhuang. "Agent Based Simulation Optimization of Waste Electrical and Electronics Equipment Recovery,'' Proceedings of the ASME 2016 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference (MSEC2016), Blacksburg, Virginia, June 27-July 1, 2016. (Full paper refereed. 10 pages.)
  • Rao, N., C. Ma, U. Shah†, F. He†, and J. Zhuang. "On Resilience of Cyber-Physical Infrastructures Using Discrete Product-Form Games,'' Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Information FUSION (FUSION 2015), Washington, D.C., July 6-9, 2015. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Catalano, M.†, E. Newell†, A. Pala†, J. Coles†, and J. Zhuang. "A 2008-2013 Case Study: US Visa Applicant Security Screening Wait Time Analysis,'' Proceedings of the 2015 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference (ISERC 2015), Nashville, Tennessee, May 30-June 2, 2015. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Rao, N.,C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Cyber-Physical Correlations for Infrastructure Resilience: A Game-Theoretic Approach,'' Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Information FUSION (FUSION 2014), Salamanca, Spain, July 7-10, 2014. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • He, F.†, J. Zhuang, N. Rao., C. Ma, and D. Yau. "Game-Theoretic Resilience Analysis of Cyber-Physical Systems,"Proceedings of the 1st IEEE International Conference on Cyber-Physical Systems, Networks, and Applications (CPSNA 2013), Taipei, Taiwan, August 19-20, 2013. (full paper refereed, 6 pages.)
  • Rao, N., S. Poole, C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Cyber and Physical Information Fusion for Infrastructure Protection: A Game-Theoretic Approach,'' Proceedings of the 1st IEEE International Symposium on Resilient Cyber Systems (ISRCS13), San Francisco, California, August 13-15, 2013. (Full paper refereed. 6 pages.)
  • Rao, N., S. Poole, C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Cyber and Physical Information Fusion for Infrastructure Protection: A Game-Theoretic Approach,'' Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information FUSION (FUSION 2013), Istanbul, Turkey, July 9-12, 2013. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Rao, N., S. Poole, C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Game-Theoretic Approach to Cyber-Physical Infrastructures: UltraScience Net Case Study,'' Proceedings of the third Workshop on Design, Modeling and Evaluation of Cyber Physical Systems (CyPhy'13), Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, April 8-11, 2013. (Full paper refereed. 5 pages.)
  • Hsu, W.†, E. Newell†, J. Zhuang, and D. Ross. "Heuristics, Optimization, and Equilibrium Analysis for Automated Wargames," Proceedings of the 2012 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. (Full paper refereed. 10 pages.)
  • He, F.†, J. Zhuang, and N. Rao. "Game-Theoretic Analysis of Attack and Defense in Cyber-Physical Network Infrastructures," Proceedings of the 2012 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. (Full paper refereed. 8 pages.)
  • Rao, N., S. Poole, C. Ma, F. He†, J. Zhuang, and D. Yau. "Cloud Computing Infrastructure Robustness: A Game Theory Approach,'' Proceedings of the International Conference on Computing, Networking and Communications, Maui, Hawaii, January 30 - February 2, 2012. (full paper refereed, 5 pages.)
  • Zhuang, J. and E. A. Newell.† "Technology Evolutionary Games in Complex Transportation Systems in the Face of Adaptive Adversaries," invited white paper published at Homeland Security Studies and Analysis Institute website, following the Fifth Annual U.S. Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit, Washington D.C., March 2011. (Abstract refereed, 13 pages.)
  • Coles, J.†, J. Yates, and J. Zhuang=. "Measuring Partnership Efficacy in Haitian Disaster Recovery," Proceedings of 2011 NSF Engineering Research and Innovation Conference, Atlanta, Georgia. (14 pages.)
  • Jin, S.†, Z. Liu and J. Zhuang=. "Monte Carlo Simulation-Based Supply Chain Disruption Management for Wargames," Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, p.p. 2682-2693, 2010. (Full paper refereed.)
  • Hao, M.†, S. Jin† and J. Zhuang "Robustness of Optimal Defensive Resource Allocations in the Face of Less than Fully Rational Attackers,'' Proceedings of the 2009 Industrial Engineering Research Conference, p.p. 886-891. (Full paper refereed.)

 

Book Chapters (†: student)

  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang. "Multi-target Homeland Security Resource Allocation Games considering Equity Constraints and Partially Strategic Attackers,'' Chapter XX in Improving Homeland Security Decisions, A. Abbas, M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), in press, 2016.
  • Zhang, J.†, and J. Zhuang. "Validation, Verification, and Uncertainty Quantification for models with intelligent adversaries,'' in Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification, R. Ghanem, D. Higdon and H. Owhadi (eds.), Springer, pp. 1-19, in press, 2017.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang. "Subsidizing to Disrupt a Terrorism Supply Chain---A Four-player Game,'' Chapter 12 in OR, Defence and Security, R. A. Forder (ed.), pp. 272-292, Series in OR Essentials, Palgrave Macmillan, 2015.
  • Wang, X.†, C. Song†, and J. Zhuang. "Simulating A Multi-Stage Screening Network---A Queueing Theory and Game Theory Application,'' in Game Theoretic Analysis of Congestion, Safety and Security, K. Hausken and J. Zhuang (eds.), pp. 55-80, Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, 2015.
  • Coles, J.† and J. Zhuang. "Decisions in Disaster Recovery Operations: A Game Theoretic Perspective on Organization Cooperation,'' Chapter 19 in Handbook of Emergency Response---A Human Factors and Systems Engineering Approach, A. D. Badiru and L. Racz (eds.) pp. 465-480, Taylor and Francis/CRC Press, 2013.
  • Coles, J.† and J. Zhuang. "Recovery Life Cycle: Rebuilding and Empowering,'' in Encyclopedia of Crisis Management, Geoffrey, G. J. K. B. Statler, M. Penuel, R. Hagen (ed.), SAGE Publications, 2013.
  • Shan, X.† and J. Zhuang. "Nuclear proliferation,'' in Encyclopedia of Crisis Management, Geoffrey, G. J. K. B. Statler, M. Penuel, R. Hagen (ed.), SAGE Publications, 2013.
  • Hausken, K., V.M. Bier, and J. Zhuang. "Defending against Terrorism, Natural Disaster, and All Hazards," Chapter 4 in Combining Reliability and Game Theory, Springer Series on Reliability Engineering, Bier, V.M. and Azaiez, N. (eds.), pp. 65-97, 2009. (Full paper refereed.)
  • Zhuang, J., and V.M. Bier. "Katrina vs 9/11: How Should We Optimally Protect Against Both?," Chapter 4 in Natural Disaster Analysis After Hurricane Katrina: Risk Assessment, Economic Impacts and Social Implications, H.W. Richardson, P. Gordon, and J.E. Moore, II (eds.), Edward Elgar Publishing: Cheltenham, pp. 71-83, 2008.

Contact: Phone: 1-716-645-4707 • Fax: 1-716-645-3302 • E-mail: jzhuang@buffalo.edu

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